Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.097459 0.105325 0.113699 0.123305 0.134057 0.145761 0.159520
2024-10-20 0.082653 0.093143 0.104979 0.119429 0.136742 0.157010 0.182815
2024-10-27 0.073227 0.084930 0.098679 0.116232 0.138349 0.165718 0.202838
2024-11-03 0.070086 0.083378 0.099570 0.121100 0.149539 0.186662 0.240277
2024-11-10 0.068152 0.082900 0.101447 0.127032 0.162329 0.210791 0.285219
2024-11-17 0.064390 0.079666 0.099357 0.127316 0.167250 0.224396 0.316825
2024-11-24 0.060330 0.075675 0.095856 0.125200 0.168352 0.232324 0.340592
2024-12-01 0.056614 0.071856 0.092249 0.122523 0.168205 0.238114 0.361459
2024-12-08 0.052965 0.067884 0.088134 0.118725 0.165907 0.240120 0.375947
2024-12-15 0.050704 0.065677 0.086321 0.118108 0.168345 0.249840 0.405415
2024-12-22 0.048289 0.063109 0.083815 0.116225 0.168534 0.255723 0.428564
2024-12-29 0.047138 0.062258 0.083719 0.117976 0.174697 0.272446 0.475631
2025-01-05 0.044347 0.059038 0.080141 0.114335 0.172075 0.274213 0.494715
2025-01-12 0.041772 0.056032 0.076750 0.110808 0.169429 0.275820 0.514398
2025-01-19 0.039575 0.053472 0.073886 0.107916 0.167600 0.278719 0.537666
2025-01-26 0.039319 0.053773 0.075398 0.112310 0.179161 0.309266 0.634012
2025-02-02 0.039271 0.054371 0.077390 0.117657 0.193079 0.347029 0.761810
2025-02-09 0.038117 0.053205 0.076496 0.117912 0.197293 0.364783 0.841531
2025-02-16 0.036602 0.051404 0.074471 0.116006 0.197035 0.372477 0.894265
2025-02-23 0.035090 0.049543 0.072252 0.113594 0.195513 0.377024 0.938888
2025-03-02 0.033477 0.047460 0.069570 0.110167 0.191596 0.375343 0.962720
2025-03-09 0.032508 0.046365 0.068483 0.109610 0.193621 0.388485 1.043052
2025-03-16 0.031386 0.044981 0.066843 0.107909 0.193042 0.395011 1.102211